DR-KNOW / IQ-2k Information Services
_ ECONOMY _
RETURN TO THE 1950s?!
By: Todd Wheatley
(c) IQ-2k 02-29-16
Only in the dreams of the current crop of presidential wannabes who either grew up
or were born in that era with the exception of Marco Rubio. In other words the economy
of 1950s is long gone. And while an 8% rate of growth remains unrealistic the economy
is doing fine ... all things considered.
Famed billionaire investor Warren Buffet weighed in on the economic strength of the
U.S. in his meeting with shareholders last month (Feb.2016) noting that the meager U.S.
GDP growth (approx. 2%) compared to the population growth (approx. 0.9%) still
advanced an impressive rise in wealth per capita over time. Granted I am a big fan of
Mr. Buffet, but I would differ somewhat on his views based upon the growing gap in
INCOME INEQUALITY.
First I would point to the old joke about the difference between a RECESSION and a
DEPRESSION : it's a recession when you are out of work and a depression when I am
out of work. Take people in the energy sector, for example. They are likely to say that
the economy is way bad. While those in the financial sector would say the economy
has been great improved and going well. The truth is: THE ECONOMY IS GOOD!
The United States has had over fourteen months of robust employment gains even
though incomes have remained stagnant. The stock market bubble corrected back
to a more realistic level and global weakness will keep those numbers steady for
awhile. Consequently consumer confidence will not radically improve due to a stock
market wealth effect. So without a major pullback in employment the U.S. economy
will keep chugging along with anemic growth producing in the range of $18.0 trillion
($17.7 TRILLION 2015 U.S. GDP).
But is that the complete the picture? au contraire! Access to education and healthcare
will become such important issues that most people will believe the country is
approaching another Great Recession if not an outright depression. By ignoring
healthcare and education and putting its sole focus on core inflation the Federal Reserve
has done irreparable harm to the economic well being of this country. The asset bubble
the Fed has orchestrated over the past 16 years has driven wealth inequality to a tipping
point.
(c) 2016 DR-KNOW
IQ-2k Information Services
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